Getaw Tadesse, Katrin Glatzel, and Moumini Savadogo, eds.
SERIES NAME
ReSAKSS Annual Trends and Outlook Report
YEAR
2024
ABSTRACT
The 2024 Annual Trends and Outlook Report (ATOR) addresses the pressing question of how Africa’s agrifood systems actors can be better equipped to tackle the impacts of climate change while simultaneously reshaping and transforming economies to align with sustainability standards and nature-based solutions. The report seeks to clarify the convergence between the climate change and bioeconomy agendas in the context of the Post-Malabo CAADP Agenda. It provides an overview of the latest data and analytics needed for better-informed programmatic instruments for sustainable climate-centered interventions and to harness the potential of the bioeconomy as a new paradigm to sustainably transform agrifood systems in Africa.
Almost all African countries have responded to the global call for mitigating and adapting to climate change impacts by developing strategies and action plans, including NDCs and national adaptation plans. Yet, African agriculture remains susceptible and insufficiently resilient to climate shocks. Climate-smart interventions, such as irrigation, sustainable land management, and agricultural insurance, cover only a fraction of arable lands and farmers. These interventions have not yet reached the scale needed to build resilience, largely due to challenges related to insufficient climate finance, the inability to scale best practices, and ineffective climate governance systems. The report finds that sensitivity to climate stress in terms of reduction in productivity is significantly different across agricultural commodities, indicating that redirecting agricultural development efforts toward crops that are less sensitive to shocks could be beneficial. Some crops—including maize, sorghum, and soybeans—will see either a greater productivity boost or a smaller loss in Africa than in the rest of the world.
The ATOR tracks the progress made by African countries against CAADP indicators, finding that, of the 49 AU Member States that participated in the fourth Biennial Review in 2023, not one is on track to achieve the Malabo commitments by 2025. Concerted efforts and a doubling down on commitments, coupled with dedicated and visionary leadership, are urgently required if African countries are to meet continental and global sustainable development and climate change targets.
The report underscores the need for an integrated policy approach to mitigate and reverse the adverse effects of climate change. In their analysis of the likely impact of climate change on African agriculture between present day and 2050, the authors argue that the best policies and investments will be those that give farmers multiple options for adaptation, reduce risk, or increase productivity over a wide range of climate outcomes. Strategies should focus on reducing risk, especially in areas where the risk is known to be high. Crucially, the continent must build capacities to translate strategic choices and agendas into actions.
ATOR BY CHAPTER
Front Material| FOREWORD AND EXECUTIVE SUMMARY [Download]
Chapter 1| INTRODUCTION Augustin Wambo Yamdjeu, Katrin Glatzel, Getaw Tadesse, and Moumini Savadogo [Download]
Chapter 2| THE CONVERGING CLIMATE CHANGE AND BIOECONOMY AGENDAS AS A PATHWAY TOWARD IMPLEMENTING THE POST-MALABO CAADP AGENDA
Augustin Wambo Yamdjeu and Katrin Glatzel [Download]
Chapter 3| THE IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON AFRICAN ECONOMIES AND OPPORTUNITIES FOR AGRIFOOD SYSTEM TRANSFORMATION Mahamadou Tankari and Ismael Fofana [Download]
Chapter 4| EXPLORING METHANE EMISSIONS IN AFRICA
Jean Paul Latyr Faye, Mansour Dia, Khadim Dia, and Racine Ly [Download]
Chapter 5| CLIMATE RISK AND VULNERABILITIES IN AFRICAN AGRIFOOD SYSTEMS Sambane Yade, Khadim Dia, and Delia Grace Randolph [Download]
Chapter 6| THE IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON AGRICULTURE Timothy S. Thomas [Download]
Chapter 7| ADAPTATION ACTIONS TO CLIMATE CHANGE IN AFRICAN AGRICULTURE: EFFECTIVENESS AND CHALLENGES Getaw Tadesse and Ndeye Yacine Barry [Download]
Chapter 8| A NUTRITION-SENSITIVE CIRCULAR BIOECONOMY FOR FOOD SYSTEMS TRANSFORMATION IN AFRICA
Vincent Abe-Inge, Raphael Aidoo, Ebenezer Miezah Kwofie, and John M. Ulimwengu [Download]
Chapter 9| BIOECONOMY PATHWAYS: EXPERIENCE FROM AFRICA, ASIA, AND LATIN AMERICA
Katrin Glatzel, Detlef Virchow, Aisha Musaazi S. Nakitto, Seraphin Niyonsenga, Suresh Babu, Nandita Srivastava, and Progress Kashandula [Download]
Chapter 10| INNOVATIVE FINANCING MECHANISMS FOR CLIMATE ADAPTATION IN AFRICAN AGRIFOOD SYSTEMS
Cecilia D’Alessandro, Daniel Adeniyi, and Lade Araba [Download]
Chapter 11| JUST ENERGY TRANSITION: LOW-CARBON PATHWAYS AND CHALLENGES FOR AFRICA
Chapter 12| CLIMATE ACTION AND BIOECONOMY TRANSITION: MAINSTREAMING ENVIRONMENTAL SUSTAINABILITY IN THE POST-MALABO AGENDA OF THE COMPREHENSIVE AFRICA AGRICULTURE DEVELOPMENT PROGRAMME
Julius Ecuru, Moumini Savadogo, and Debisi Araba [Download]
Chapter 13| TRACKING KEY CAADP INDICATORS AND IMPLEMENTATION PROCESSES
Wondwosen Tefera, Paul Maina Guthiga, Julia Collins, and Tsitsi Makombe [Download]
Chapter 14| CONCLUSION
Getaw Tadesse, Katrin Glatzel, and Moumini Savadogo [Download]
Featured Issue 1| MAKING THE BUSINESS CASE FOR A BIOECONOMY IN AFRICA
